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War Cost: $47 Billion in Taxpayer Spending After Midterm Loss

Republican leaders are repositioning after Democrats won both chambers, with Vice President Vance blaming the conflict for the party's defeat.

By Naomi Tesfaye ·

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The cost of the war in Iran reached an estimated 47 billion dollars for American taxpayers, a figure that now anchors the post-election debate among Republicans. Democrats won control of both chambers of Congress in Tuesday's midterms, a result that Vice President JD Vance attributed directly to the conflict. Vance wrote on X on Wednesday that the war was the primary reason for the loss. He noted that the president agreed with this assessment late Tuesday night.

Vance, a potential candidate for the 2028 presidential race, questioned whether losing the Senate for six years was a fair trade for the military campaign. He cited an unnamed pollster who said that ending the war and changing relations with Israel were top priorities for Trump supporters who voted Democratic this year. Senator Ted Cruz, a former hawk, also shifted his stance. He stated on his podcast that the conflict should have been brief and decisive. Cruz added that the war dragged on too long and that Washington should not give the Ayatollah billions of dollars.

Critics point to the June memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran. That agreement included a proposal for a 300 billion dollar fund to rebuild Iran as part of peace talks. The plan faced conservative resistance and quickly collapsed. President Donald Trump, who launched the war alongside Israel in February, told The Wall Street Journal this week that he had no regrets. He said he did the right thing and would do it again. At the White House on Wednesday, Trump called Vance's assessment largely true but blamed war-driven fuel prices for the electoral backlash.

Paul Musgrave, an associate professor of government at Georgetown University in Qatar, described major internal divisions within the party regarding the war. He noted that hawks like Cruz and the late Lindsey Graham pushed for the conflict but now criticize its execution. Musgrave said Vance is representing a more isolationist wing of the party. He is willing to walk away from the war to win favor with a large part of the Trump base. John Feehery, a former Republican congressional staffer, said the war was a big part of the defeat alongside energy prices, healthcare, and corruption.

Democrats are now weighing how to use their new control of Congress. Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer said the war must end, invoking congressional control of funding. Congressman Ro Khanna proposed a continuing resolution that would prohibit financing US combat activities in Iran. He aimed to end the war similarly to the approach used for Vietnam. Musgrave said appropriations would be a principal lever for pressure. He also noted that hearings and investigations could target key figures. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth faces particular scrutiny. Outgoing Senator Thom Tillis said Hegseth would face a reckoning, while Representative Jason Crow called him incompetent and corrupt.

The military campaign continues in parallel with diplomacy. On election day, US forces struck Iran's Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz. Officials described these as the first defensive attacks in the area since June. US media reported that Central Command prepared for strikes that could begin as early as Wednesday. Three US aircraft carriers were positioned in the region during that time. Giorgio Cafiero, CEO of Gulf State Analytics, said Trump may choose to escalate the crisis because he has nothing to lose. He noted that Democrats will not take power until January 2027.

Qatar-led mediated talks are ongoing. Majed al-Ansari, a spokesperson for Qatar's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, said Washington and Tehran remain committed to negotiations. Iran called the latest US response to its conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz unconvincing. Cafiero warned that Israel would try to play spoiler to any diplomatic arrangement. Trump told The Financial Times on election night that he had no immediate plans to order new attacks.

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